CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2026-07-27T07:09:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2026-07-27T07:09ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/47806/-1
CME Note: CME observed to the NE in STEREO A COR2 and faintly in GOES CCOR-1, not in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 due to a real-time downlink gap. The source is a heavily deflected filament eruption observed well in GOES SUVI 304, from a small filament spanning approx. N16E12 to N25W00 (centered N25E05) at 2026-07-27T03:13Z when it began to slowly lift off, more fully lifting off past 2026-07-27T05:00Z, clearly deflecting sharply NE in the field-of-view. Field line movement and brightening in GOES SUVI 171 and dimming in GOES SUVI 195 was also observed.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-07-30T11:44Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 27.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: 47.03 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2026-07-28T12:42Z
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